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No sharp dive in housing market says CIBC economist

According to a top CIBC economist, suggesting the anticipated housing decline will not be as sharp or as long as earlier projected because of immigration.

“It turns out fears of a long and sharp downturn in the housing market, are highly exaggerated and very premature,” said Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at CIBC. “In fact demographic forces will be supportive to real estate markets in the coming decade.”

Tal predicts immigration, which is responsible for most of the population growth, will be a major force impacting housing demand.

“What’s more, there is significant jump in the home ownership rate among immigrants as they pass the three-year mark,” said Tal. “In fact, after 10 years in Canada, the propensity among immigrants to own a house is higher than among native Canadians.”

While there will be a decline in the number of Canadians under the age of 25 and those between 45 and 54, those age groups account for a relatively small portion of home buyers, Tal writes in his latest Consumer Watch report.

By contrast, the number of Canadians between the ages of 25 and 35 – the age group that makes up the vast majority of first-time home buyers – will continue to rise, the report said.

“From a housing market perspective, what counts is not only the change in population of a given age group, but more importantly, the level of housing market activity among these groups,” said Tal. “In other words, the group that is most likely to buy a house will grow faster in the coming decade.” Source: Brokernews.ca

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Condo Prices Grow at Moderate Pace in Q2

Condo Prices Grow at Moderate Pace in Q2

July 18, 2012Greater Toronto REALTORS® reported 6,435 condominium apartment transactions during the second quarter of 2012 – down by 2.6 per cent compared to 6,609 transactions reported in the second quarter of 2011. New listings for condominium apartments were up substantially on a year-over-year basis, climbing by 19 per cent in comparison to 2011.

“The condominium apartment market has been the best-supplied market segment in the GTA this year. Many condominium projects have completed over the past year and this has resulted in a substantial increase in listings and ultimately more choice for buyers,” said Toronto Real Estate Board President Ann Hannah. “The greater degree of choice in the condo market translated into a moderate rate of price growth compared to what was experienced in the low-rise market segment.”

The average price for second quarter condominium apartment sales was $342,212, representing a 3.2 per cent increase over the same period in 2011.

“Sellers seemed to be well-aware of condo market conditions in the second quarter. On average, units were priced in line with buyer expectations, with apartments selling for 98 per cent of the asking price in less than a month’s time,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Senior Manager of Market Analysis. 6,435 6,609 Second Quarter 2012 Second Quarter 2011

 

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Strong Sales and Price Growth in May

 TORONTO, June 5, 2012 – Greater Toronto REALTORS® reported 10,850 transactions through the TorontoMLS system in May 2012 – an 11 per cent increase over the 9,766 sales in May 2011. Sales growth was strongest in the ‘905’ regions surrounding the City of Toronto.

“Sales growth in the ‘905’ area code was stronger than growth in the City of Toronto across all major home types. While lower average prices are certainly one factor that has contributed to this trend, recent polling also suggests that the City of Toronto’s land transfer tax has also prompted many households to look outside of the City for their ownership housing needs,” said Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) President Richard Silver.

 

New listings were up substantially on a year-over-year basis in May – rising by more than 20 per cent to 19,177.

 

The average price for May 2012 sales was $516,787, representing an annual increase of 6.5 per cent compared to $485,362 in May 2011. Price growth continued to be driven by the low-rise market segment.

 

“Strong competition between buyers seeking to purchase low-rise home types drove strong price growth in May. However, if new listings continue to grow at the pace they did in May for the remainder of 2012, the annual rate of price growth should begin to moderate on a sustained basis,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Senior Manager of Market Analysis. Source: TREB

 

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Brand New Home in Richmond Hill

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